亚洲时报文章 —— 乌克兰战争将以基辅投降告终

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The Russians say that Zelensky is not a viable negotiating partner because his term of office expired in May. There is some confusion about the legal situation in Ukraine but experts in and outside Ukraine think that the leadership of the country should pass to the Speaker of the Rada since Zelensky completed his term.  

俄罗斯人认为，泽连斯基的任期在五月份已经结束，所以不是一个正当的谈判对象。有人认为，应当由拉达（即乌克兰议会）议长来代理国家元首。

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Meanwhile, given the battlefield situation, the Russians no doubt figure that the time will soon come when the Ukrainian army either collapses or surrenders, or both.

在俄罗斯人看来，乌军完全崩溃或投降的时刻已经为期不远了

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In either case, the Ukrainian government will need to be replaced in some manner, perhaps with an interim military leadership selected by Russia. That would allow the Russians to formulate a capitulation agreement with a replacement government.

乌克兰政府将以某种形势被改变，也许是一个由俄罗斯挑选出来的临时军政府，然后俄罗斯将与这个临时军政府签署投降文件

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A surrender by Ukraine’s army and an agreement with a Russia-appointed government would make NATO’s continued involvement in Ukraine impossible.

乌军的投降将使得北约的干预成为不可能

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That could open the door, finally, to a security dialogue between NATO and Russia once NATO digests what happened and why. Unfortunately, loading NATO with has-been political leaders like Marc Rutte does not bode well for the future of the alliance.

这将为北约与俄罗斯之间的安全对话打开大门。不幸的是，北约中现在充满了像吕特（原荷兰首相，将任北约秘书长）这样的人，这对北约的未来是一种不祥之兆。

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The key message for NATO if the Russians win in Ukraine, as seems more and more likely, is that the security alliance must stop its expansion and look for a more stable arrangement with Russia in Europe.

北约应当了解，北约必须停止扩张，并且与俄罗斯在欧洲达成一种更加稳定的安排。

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建议与下面这篇报道的内容结合起来看：

http://redchinacn.org/forum.php? ... &extra=page%3D2

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ulankl 发表于 2024-7-3 02:39
现在乌克兰的局势类似1948年夏天的中国大陆。。。俄军发动大规模战略大决战的时机正在成熟 ...

也许会是1975年春天的南越

xin

北约是一个入侵性的帝国主义军事组织，它只能不断吸纳成员国的方式来维持自身和证明资本主义体系依然稳定，剥削程序可以一如既往继续，扩张失败意味它已经没有力量再阻止反帝势力的反击和新自由主义秩序稳定，也就没有存在之必要了。