斯考特·里特认为，普里戈任是按照外国情报机关的意志行动

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Scott Ritter: This is a concerted effort between Wagner, the Ukrainian intelligence service, and their Western sponsors, in particular the British... there is no doubt in my mind that Yevgeny Prigozhin is working on behalf of foreign intelligence services to collapse the government of Russia.


https://twitter.com/Navsteva/status/1672643623450472449

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https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=PE2IqsAO-2M

完整视频

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这是目前最有价值的分析之一

西方帝国主义在战场上节节失败的形势下，只有用颠覆破坏手段从内部搞垮俄罗斯

在普里戈津事件爆发同时，俄罗斯安全部门刚刚在莫斯科破获了一个乌克兰地下特务网。他们企图在普里戈津靠近莫斯科时进行破坏活动，制造恐慌，实现政权更迭。

井冈山卫士

斯考特·里特是前美国海军陆战队情报官员，少校，曾在八十年代被派往苏联所核武器稽查人员。

他的情报和分析通常是比较可靠的。

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井冈山卫士 发表于 2023-6-25 02:22
斯考特·里特是前美国海军陆战队情报官员，少校，曾在八十年代被派往苏联所核武器稽查人员。

他的情报和分 ...

Well, Now It Could Be Stated Openly...
... that Prigozhin is not only a criminal, but, highly likely, the asset of Ukie-NATO axis. A lot of things point out to that, including "rumors" (in reality, reliable information) of Prigozhin and some Wagner people providing information on positions of Russian Army to VSU. Per Wagner: I am on record--they are good storm group but as a serious force they are nothing without Russian Armed Forces. The media BS about them, as well as grossly exaggerated stories about Bakhmut have been designed primarily for the consumption of fanboys who masturbate on tactical minutiae.

著名的军事分析家马提亚诺夫也认为，普里戈津实际上是北约奸细

https://sonar21.com/u-s-military ... -a-psychotic-break/

普里戈津打着揭露俄罗斯国防部“腐败无能”的旗号并利用俄罗斯一些爱国人士对军事无知的急躁情绪把自己伪装成所谓的强硬主战派。其实他如果得逞，很可能马上就摇身一变成为投降派。他污蔑说，俄罗斯的特别军事行动完全不是因为乌克兰法西斯暴行，而是绍伊古要当元帅，就是为此做准备。连杜金都上了他的当。

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Given that we now seem to have firm details from the presidential office, I will break my silence on what has unfolded. This is of course only my opinion.

https://twitter.com/baronitaigas/status/1672701844806680576

关于普里戈任事件的长篇分析

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To the first question: was any of this real?

I answer, yes. Without question. And not because of the purported downing of Russian aircraft by forces of PMC Wagner (this has yet to be confirmed officially and Peskov's latest statement calls the 'photos' into question).

Instead, the answer is yes because of the very real damage this has done to Russia, primarily in the diplomatic sphere, and I will elaborate more on this below. The actions of the Wagner PMC over the last 24 hours expose a serious deficiency in the country's crisis-management.

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Perhaps this is to be expected given the strains of the war in Ukraine, but it is still unforgivable. It raises questions not only about the long-term stability of Russia (which has financial implications) but also the competence of its security agencies.

Although any criticism of the services in Rostov are misplaced. They were heavily outnumbered by Prigozhin's mob, and under the circumstances, not engaging them was the prudent thing to do.

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We can also say unequivocally the dissolution of Wagner PMC (which now seems inevitable) severely harms relationships built across Africa in particular with local allies. The PMC cannot be trusted to fulfil any functions on the continent after this incident.

"But it was so short!" - Failed coups often are
"But there wasn't much killing!" - This was a risk, but always unlikely given you were asking brother to shoot brother on both sides here, some who may have seen combat together.

In the face of the costs, a 'psyop' is inconceivable

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The last refuge of the 'psyop' theory (which is no different to the 'imaginary coup to consolidate state power' theory) is that some kind of other more serious coup was about to be launched, and this fake one was launched to derail it, but I very much doubt this.