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一场俄乌战争彻底把这些军事专家打出原型 [复制链接]

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发表于 2023-9-30 17:37:59 |只看该作者 |倒序浏览
一场俄乌战争彻底把这些军事专家打出原型,像杜文龙、李莉、金灿荣等这些军事专家预测都是错的,能全部预测错了也确实厉害。
俄乌战争交战开始,杜文龙说俄乌战争闪电战根本不存在,乌军和俄军就是幼儿园和拳击手的 区别,乌克兰缺乏防空能力,俄军可以随意摧毁乌克兰的军事设施,结果俄乌战争闪电战闪了一年多了还没有结束,现在俄罗斯外长拉夫罗飞开始松口尊重乌克兰领土完整想和乌克兰谈判。
金灿荣在去年8月份的时候预测年底会结束战争,俄罗斯会占领乌东地区,敖德萨、扎波罗热、哈尔科夫、赫尔松等地区,成立几个共和国,然后俄军在后面保护他们,然后宣布取得战争的胜利。
杜文龙评价乌克兰海王星反舰导弹性能一般,俄罗斯舰队近距离防空系统会把它击落,结果2枚把俄罗斯莫斯科万吨巡洋舰给击沉了。
李莉说乌军拆毁和白俄罗斯边境的桥梁并且在边境埋伏地雷是准备进攻白俄罗斯,#解析俄罗斯战局# 问题是把大桥拆毁了乌军怎么进攻白俄罗斯?明显就是防止白俄罗斯或者俄罗斯军队从乌白边境攻击乌克兰,基本的逻辑都没有。

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沙发
发表于 2023-9-30 18:27:58 |只看该作者
现在俄罗斯外长拉夫罗飞开始松口尊重乌克兰领土完整想和乌克兰谈判

前天看你发那个帖子,我刚把拉夫罗夫的原话从采访录像里整理出来,你那帖子就被删了。想想也是,拿着网易上亲帝自由派媒体(https://www.163.com/dy/media/T1684636126804.html)没头没尾的短视频当什么确凿的消息源,也确实没啥反驳的必要,删了拉倒。不过你这被删贴之后还不去仔细考证一下,还搁这基于错误的论据发表长篇大论,属实是贻笑大方了。
拉夫罗夫的采访原话很长,我分成两段在下面两层楼贴给你,你自己看看吧。下次再有这种事儿,我就不惯着你了,自己去找原文哈。

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板凳
发表于 2023-9-30 18:29:03 |只看该作者
本帖最后由 饮料喝没了 于 2023-9-30 19:26 编辑

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FZgxp1K0loA
38分08秒-44分17秒
Q: The United States always say that if the Ukrainians stop fighting, Ukraine will not exist anymore. Does the Russian Federation recognize the sovereignty of Ukraine?
A: Of course, back in 1991, we recognize the sovereignty of Ukraine on the basis of the Declaration of Independence which Ukraine adopted when it withdrew from the Soviet Union. And the declaration has a great deal of good written there, including that they will respect the rights of national minorities, that they will respect the rights of Russian language speakers, as well as Russian is explicitly spelled out there. Then this was reflected in Ukrainian Constitution, but in the Declaration of Independence, one of the main points for us of was that Ukraine would be a nonblock, non-aligned country that it would not enter any into any military alliances. And in that version, under those circumstances, we supported Ukrainians territorial integrity. When they had some kind of a mini coup back in 2004 when the Americans were dragged in unlawfully forcing the Ukrainians to conduct a third round of elections, which were not stipulated in the Constitution they ultimately brought their person to the presidential post. Even then, we had good relations with them. But when the third coup occurred, I understand that all these months I have been poorly explaining it and even wednesday I explained it poorly, it happened the day after the signing of an agreement on resolution. An agreement according to which early elections were to be held early in the morning. The opposition took up all of the administrative buildings and when we began to call the guarantors of this agreement, France, Poland and Germany.

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地板
发表于 2023-9-30 18:30:54 |只看该作者
We were told not very clearly but that democracy at times assumes these unusual Contours and the first objective for those Democrats who killed more than 100 people in carrying out the coup. The first thing they announced was that they would resend the status of the Russian language in Ukraine. They immediately announced the crusade of armed fighters in the direction of Crimea to seize the creman parliament. These people simply began to protect their homes, to protect their language, to protect their traditions, and they conducted a referendum quite simply. And Crimea immediately rejoined the Russian Federation with respect to dbas as soon as the referenda were conductive. Kia unleashed military aviation tanks. They bombed residential areas and cities, and these atrocities ended one year later with the signing of the Minsk agreements. And last year, everybody other than Putin who signed on to those agreements. Merkel aland pareno said we had no intention of implementing anything, we needed time to provide Ukraine with weaponry to use against Russia, and most importantly, we were often told even by the Secretary General that we need to implement the resolution on Ukraine because the general assembly adopted that resolution very well if we are to adopt that logic implement it. But why aren't resolutions on many other issues being implemented including on decolonization of the mayote island, the chagos archipelago. Why is the UK skirting implementation of the general assembly resolution on the malvinasif we were to take those resolutions? We know about the methods of exerting pressure, those methods, that our Western colleagues harness they all agreed. And approximately a good one-third did not support those resolutions, and the resolution that I mention was unanimously adopted on the principles of relations between sovereign states on the basis of the charter of the United Nations, and it describes sovereignty and territorial integrity. All must comply with the sovereignty and territorial integrity of those countries whose governments respect the principle of self-determination of peoples and in connection with this, all the peoples residing on this territory. So to be respected, you need to respect your population. And the United Nations Secretary General, our esteemed Antonio gues, in one of his statements, he mentioned the principle that opens the charter, we the peoples means democracy, means that those governing need to have the the consent of the Govern and the general assembly also said there will be respect for the territorial integrity of those who represent the entire population residing on their territory when against dbas and against Crimea a war was unleashed essentially. How can it be said that the governments of these pooches represent the people? Are there the people of those territories who last year conducted referenda on rejoining the Russian Federation. So we have no problems with territorial integrity of Ukraine. This was destroyed by those who carried out and supported the coup, whose leaders declared war against their own people and who began to bomb their own people.

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5#
发表于 2023-9-30 18:51:32 |只看该作者
本帖最后由 指鸭为鼠 于 2023-9-30 18:52 编辑
饮料喝没了 发表于 2023-9-30 18:27
前天看你发那个帖子,我刚把拉夫罗夫的原话从采访录像里整理出来,你那帖子就被删了。想想也是,拿着网易 ...

拉夫罗夫当然现在还不至于要无条件投降,但是他试图有条件谈判,只要乌克兰回到1991年独立协议,就承认乌克兰对包括克里米亚的主权,对不对?而不是去年的要求,什么去军事化,去纳粹化,更加不是哦帝通过法律形式确认的乌东四州是俄罗斯领土啊

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6#
发表于 2023-9-30 18:51:34 |只看该作者
无所谓,结局八九不离十就行了
站什么立场说什么话咯

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7#
发表于 2023-9-30 18:56:16 |只看该作者
最多要求乌克兰不加入北约,和所谓的尊重俄语嘛

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8#
发表于 2023-9-30 18:59:25 |只看该作者
指鸭为鼠 发表于 2023-9-30 18:51
拉夫罗夫当然现在还不至于要无条件投降,但是他试图有条件谈判,只要乌克兰回到1991年独立协议,就承认乌 ...

你的英语阅读理解能力比我高,pooch

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9#
发表于 2023-9-30 19:01:43 |只看该作者
饮料喝没了 发表于 2023-9-30 18:59
你的英语阅读理解能力比我高,pooch

我不懂英语,你翻译一下,是什么意思

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10#
发表于 2023-9-30 19:05:20 |只看该作者
指鸭为鼠 发表于 2023-9-30 19:01
我不懂英语,你翻译一下,是什么意思

这拉夫罗夫的原话啊,问我什么意思干啥,我又看不懂,随便复制的一个词

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